Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 17.825953 20.733762 23.913189 27.640577 31.883175 36.554256 42.078747
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.031225 18.270153 23.378786 29.952245 38.145548 47.977310 60.620027
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.983269 15.662535 21.756288 30.189691 41.460503 55.892987 75.641967
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.736698 13.470965 20.056613 29.744750 43.460530 61.978869 88.619427
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.002316 11.586136 18.350451 28.853742 44.491222 66.591773 99.775538
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.899343 10.400081 17.400848 28.801483 46.536513 72.610523 113.220511
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.089702 9.513943 16.736109 29.016913 48.890067 79.153382 127.839706
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.085847 8.115289 15.027873 27.311557 47.997038 80.626050 134.835441
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.703381 7.739366 14.955331 28.252603 51.386418 88.935223 152.959285
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.456695 7.569266 15.204910 29.746452 55.797164 99.174112 174.862489
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.954153 6.813559 14.284153 29.034179 56.314557 103.011002 186.539913
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.457735 5.979830 13.094380 27.665181 55.493214 104.461086 194.243154
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.335978 5.950142 13.520684 29.512869 60.890083 117.390990 223.131577
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.259555 6.016571 14.166262 31.898920 67.593453 133.283991 258.617987
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.002860 5.615096 13.773327 32.136999 70.195486 141.985709 281.969524
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.729557 5.115320 13.086801 31.663669 71.321537 148.015488 300.866067
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.466874 4.583638 12.239964 30.720481 71.365375 151.949552 316.083482
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.295752 4.258021 11.821185 30.665085 73.230673 159.516696 338.687902
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.162083 4.007481 11.544045 30.893001 75.709334 168.461386 364.548111
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.950133 3.475705 10.470271 29.088377 73.526479 167.795115 371.375953
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.887704 3.389242 10.543315 30.084274 77.730891 180.585845 406.063843
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.852905 3.384515 10.836233 31.664815 83.422523 196.890792 448.944581
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.737078 3.080680 10.249749 30.911264 83.555297 201.334915 467.538387